Draft Pick Tracker – March 8th, 2017
Welcome back to your daily Sixers draft pick tracker.
We’ll start off with a table at the top summarizing the status of the three picks. Then we’ll dive into the details of each pick, what teams are around them in the standings, how the games last night impacted the Sixers’ draft pick status, and who you should cheer for tonight in order to maximize those ping pong ball combinations.
(In parenthesis will be whether the outcome is good or bad for that pick, if it happened last night, and who to cheer for if the game takes place tonight).
2017 Draft Pick Tracker – Summary
| Pick | Place | GB (from 2nd) | Games Left | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers | 2nd | — | 18 | 44.2% chance at conveying |
| Sixers | 5th | 4.0 | 19 | 88 lottery combinations |
| Kings | 8th | 6.0 | 19 | 43 lottery combinations |
Lakers Pick (currently 2nd):
Lakers draft pick – Current Status:
| Team | Place | Record | GB (from LAL) | Games Left | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets | 1st | 11-51 | -7.0 | 20 | 2-8 |
| Lakers | 2nd | 19-45 | — | 18 | 1-9 |
| Suns | 3rd | 21-43 | +2.0 | 18 | 4-6 |
| Magic | 4th | 23-41 | +3.5 | 18 | 3-7 |
(Where the Lakers currently are in the standings)
The more time that goes by, the more and more it looks like the Lakers are locked into that #2 slot.
Last night’s games:
- Lakers lost (bad): The Lakers got obliterated by the Mavs. They’re not catching anybody. At this point, I’m rooting for the Suns to go on a winning streak and just accepting the Lakers finishing with the 2nd worst record.
- Suns lost (good): The Suns lost to the Wizards, which is technically good for the Lakers pick as it keeps Phoenix within 2 wins of the Lakers. But it keeps the Suns 2 wins away from catching the Sixers, which to me is the bigger deal.
Tonight’s games:
- Bulls @ Magic: The Magic are “only” 4 games up on the Lakers, so I’ll technically include this game here. That being said, with the Magic having the chance to catch the Sixers and/or Kings, I’d hope they’re victorious anyway.
Lakers Draft Pick Matrix:
| Finishes | 1-3 pick | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worst record | 64.3% | 35.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2nd worst | 55.8% | 31.9% | 12.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3rd | 46.9% | 22.6% | 26.5% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4th | 37.8% | 9.9% | 35.0% | 16.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 5th | 29.1% | 0.0% | 26.1% | 35.9% | 8.4% | 0.4% |
What odds the Lakers have of getting each pick (columns) depending on where they finish in the standings (rows). In red means the Sixers would not get the pick. The row in bold is where the Lakers are if the season finished today. All odds assume no ties in the final standings).
Sixers/Kings Pick (currently 5th):
| Team | Place | Record | GB (Sixers) | Games Left | Last 10 | Lotto combinations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix | 3rd | 21-43 | -2.5 | 18 | 4-6 | 156 |
| Magic | 4th | 23-41 | -0.5 | 18 | 3-7 | 119 |
| Sixers | 5th | 23-40 | — | 19 | 4-6 | 88 |
| Pelicans | 6th | 25-39 | +1.5 | 18 | 4-6 | 63 |
| Kings | 7th | 25-38 | +2.0 | 19 | 4-6 (L5) | 43 |
| Wolves | 8th | 25-37 | +2.5 | 20 | 6-4 | 28 |
| Knicks | 9th | 26-38 | +2.5 | 18 | 4-6 | 17 |
| Mavs | 10th | 27-36 | +4.0 | 19 | 6-4 | 11 |
(How the Sixers and Kings fit into the standings. Lottery ball combinations based on if the season ended today.)
Current combined odds:
- #1 pick: 13.1%
- Top-3 pick: 41.4%
Last night’s games:
- Phoenix lost (bad): Phoenix kept it close against a good Washington team, but the loss keeps them 2 wins from catching the Sixers and 4 from the Kings. The Suns are playing better basketball than either of late, but they’re running out of time.
- Dallas won (good): The Mavs won, and they’re now 2 wins up on the Kings with the 10th worst record. At 5-1 in their last 6 games there shouldn’t be much concern over the Kings catching them.
Tonight’s games:
- Knicks @ Bucks (go Knicks): The Knicks are just a half game up on the Kings for the 7th spot.
- Clippers @ Wolves (go Wolves): The Wolves are, also, just a half game up on the Kings.
- Raptors @ Pelicans (go Pels): The Pelicans are a half game behind the Kings with the 6th worst record.
- Bulls @ Magic (go Magic): The Magic are a half game behind the Sixers and 2.5 behind the Kings.
- Kings @ Spurs (go Spurs): The Kings have a brutal schedule coming up, which keeps the hope alive they could fall all the way to the 4th worst record.
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