Draft Pick Tracker – March 14th, 2017

Updated: Tuesday, March 14, 2017 08:32 AM

Welcome back to your daily Sixers draft pick tracker.

We’ll start off with a table at the top summarizing the status of the three picks, then we’ll list out last night’s games and whether their results were good or bad for the Sixers draft pick positioning, and follow that up with tonight’s games and who you should root for. Finally, we’ll have some tables at the bottom providing some additional details on the various draft picks, including odds that the Lakers pick conveys at each position.

(In parenthesis will be whether the outcome is good or bad for that pick, if it happened last night, and who to cheer for if the game takes place tonight). 

2017 Draft Pick Tracker – Summary

Pick Place GB (from 2nd) Games Left Notes
Lakers 2nd 15 44.2% chance at conveying
Sixers 5th 4.5 16 88 lottery combinations
Kings t6th 6.0 15 53 lottery combinations

Last night’s results:

  • Denver beat LAL (bad): This is bad if you a) want the Lakers to move up to the 3rd worst record, b) haven’t given up on that dream. As I’ve been saying, I think it’s time to just accept the Lakers finishing with the 2nd worst record and to be pleasantly surprised shocked if that changes.
  • Sacramento beat Orlando (very bad): This one hurt. The Magic made a late comeback, pulling to within 1 late in the 4th quarter before falling. The Magic passing the Sixers (1 game back) and Kings (2.5 back) could add upwards of 68 lottery ball combinations to the Sixers chances on May 16th. The win snaps an 8 game losing streak for the Kings.

Tonight’s games:

  • Philadelphia @ Golden State (go GS): The W’s are struggling (have lost 5 of 7), but I don’t think you have to worry about this one, Sixers fans.
  • Portland @ New Orleans (go Pels): The Pelicans are just a half game up on the Kings (and even in the win column), and some separation would be great.
  • Indiana @ New York (go Knicks): The Knicks are tied with the Kings and Pelicans at 26 wins, and pushing Sacramento down into that 6th spot would help the Sixers.

Current combined odds for Sixers/Kings pick swap:

  • #1 pick: 14.1% (-1.0% change from yesterday)
  • Top-3 pick: 44.0% (-2.5% change from yesterday)
  • Two Top-5 Picks: 29.6% (-1.3% change from yesterday)

Lakers Pick (currently 2nd):

Lakers draft pick – Current Status:

Team Place Record GB (from LAL) Games Left Last 10
Nets 1st 12-53 -7.0 17 3-7
Lakers 2nd 20-47 15 1-9
Suns 3rd 22-45 +2.0 15 4-6
Magic 4th 24-44 +3.5 14 3-7

(Where the Lakers currently are in the standings)

Lakers Draft Pick Matrix:

Finishes 1-3 pick 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Worst record 64.3% 35.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2nd worst 55.8% 31.9% 12.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3rd 46.9% 22.6% 26.5% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4th 37.8% 9.9% 35.0% 16.1% 1.3% 0.0%
5th 29.1% 0.0% 26.1% 35.9% 8.4% 0.4%

What odds the Lakers have of getting each pick (columns) depending on where they finish in the standings (rows). In red means the Sixers would not get the pick. The row in bold is where the Lakers are if the season finished today. All odds assume no ties in the final standings).

Sixers/Kings Pick (currently 5th):

Team Place Record GB (Sixers) Games Left Last 10 Lotto combinations
Magic 4th 24-44 +1.0 14 3-7 119
Sixers 5th 24-42 16 3-7 88
Knicks t6th 26-41 +1.5 15 3-7 53
Kings t6th 26-41 +1.5 15 2-8 53
Pelicans 8th 26-40 +2.0 16 4-6 28
Mavs t9th 28-38 +4.0 16 6-4 14
Wolves t9th 28-38 +4.0 16 7-3 14

(How the Sixers and Kings fit into the standings. Lottery ball combinations based on if the season ended today.)


Derek Bodner

Derek Bodner is a credentialed reporter covering the Philadelphia 76ers independently for DerekBodner.com. He is also a college basketball scout for DraftExpress.com, and an NBA contributor for The Ringer. Contact Information: derek.bodner@draftexpress.com / @DerekBodnerNBA

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