Draft Pick Tracker – March 22nd, 2017

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Updated: Wednesday, March 22, 2017 06:02 AM

Welcome back to your daily Sixers draft pick tracker.

Summary:
No positioning changed as a result of last night’s games, resulting in the same lottery odds as yesterday. The Lakers were able to keep their game with the Clippers within 25 points, so there’s that.

2017 Draft Pick Tracker – Summary

Pick Place GB (from 2nd) Games Left Notes
Lakers 2nd 11 44.2% chance at conveying
Sixers 5th 6.5 12 88 lottery combinations
Kings t6th 7.5 12 53 lottery combinations

Yesterday’s results:

  • LAC beat LAL (bad): The Lakers are now only 5.5 games away from the Nets for the worst record in the league, and it’s a good thing there’s not much of the season left.
  • Miami beat Phoenix (good): The Suns lost once again, and despite the Lakers’ ineptitude remain just 2 games ahead of them in the standings. The challenge: find 2 wins in the Lakers’ remaining schedule.
  • Golden State beat Dallas (bad): The Dallas loss keeps them only 3 wins up on the Kings, which should be enough.
  • San Antonio beat Minnesota (bad): The Wolves loss means they’re only a win up on the Kings with the 8th worst record.
  • New Orleans beat Memphis (good): The Pelicans win gives them 30 on the season, which should be enough of a cushion to remain ahead of Sacramento.

Tonight’s games:

  • Philadelphia @ Oklahoma City: Everybody’s close. Too close.
  • Charlotte @ Orlando (go Magic): A Magic win (and Sixers loss) could push them ahead of the Sixers in the standings.
  • Milwaukee @ Sacramento (go Bucks): Sacramento is tied with the Knicks at the 6th worst record and only a game ahead of 5th place Philadelphia. Big game.
  • New York @ Utah (go Knicks): The Knicks are tied with the Kings, so every game is a big one for lottery status.

Current combined odds for Sixers/Kings pick swap:

  • #1 pick: 14.1% (no change since yesterday)
  • Top-3 pick: 44.0% (no change since yesterday)
  • Two top-5 picks: 29.6% (no change since yesterday)

Lakers Pick (currently 2nd):

Lakers draft pick – Current Status:

Team Place Record GB (from LAL) Games Left Last 10
Nets 1st 14-56 -5.5 12 4-6
Lakers 2nd 20-51 11 1-9
Suns 3rd 22-49 +2.0 11 3-7
Magic 4th 26-45 +6.0 11 4-6

(Where the Lakers currently are in the standings)

Lakers Draft Pick Matrix:

Finishes 1-3 pick 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Worst record 64.3% 35.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2nd worst 55.8% 31.9% 12.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3rd 46.9% 22.6% 26.5% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4th 37.8% 9.9% 35.0% 16.1% 1.3% 0.0%
5th 29.1% 0.0% 26.1% 35.9% 8.4% 0.4%

What odds the Lakers have of getting each pick (columns) depending on where they finish in the standings (rows). In red means the Sixers would not get the pick. The row in bold is where the Lakers are if the season finished today. All odds assume no ties in the final standings).

Sixers/Kings Pick (currently 5th/t6th):

Team Place Record GB (Sixers) Games Left Last 10 Lotto combinations
Magic 4th 26-45 -0.5 11 4-6 119
Sixers 5th 26-44 12 4-6 88
Kings t6th 27-43 +1.0 12 2-8 53
Knicks t6th 27-43 +1.0 12 3-7 53
Wolves 8th 28-42 +2.0 12 4-6 28
Pelicans 9th 30-41 +3.5 11 6-4 17
Mavs 10th 30-40 +4.0 12 6-4 11

(How the Sixers and Kings fit into the standings. Lottery ball combinations based on if the season ended today.)

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Derek Bodner

Derek Bodner is a credentialed reporter covering the Philadelphia 76ers independently for DerekBodner.com. He is also a college basketball scout for DraftExpress.com, and an NBA contributor for The Ringer. Contact Information: derek.bodner@draftexpress.com / @DerekBodnerNBA

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