Draft Pick Tracker – March 23rd, 2017
Welcome back to your daily Sixers draft pick tracker.
Summary:
The Magic, Sixers, Kings, and Knicks all played last night. The Magic, Sixers, Kings, and Knicks all lost last night. So, despite all teams being in action, there was absolutely no change to either the standings or the lottery odds. Had things shaken different, the Sixers could have jumped from having 141 lottery ball combinations 182, but here we are.
2017 Draft Pick Tracker – Summary
| Pick | Place | GB (from 2nd) | Games Left | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers | 2nd | — | 11 | 44.2% chance at conveying |
| Sixers | 5th | 6.5 | 11 | 88 lottery combinations |
| Kings | t6th | 7.5 | 11 | 53 lottery combinations |
Yesterday’s results:
- OKC beat Philadelphia (good): The Sixers got Russell Westbrook’d, which had the chance to push them into the 4th worst record depending on what Orlando did …
- Milwaukee beat Sacramento (good): The Kings losing, like the Sixers, had the chance to tie them in the win column with the Magic, or at least break the tie with the Knicks, depending on the outcome of those games…
- Charlotte beat Orlando (bad): But Orlando lost. A real missed opportunity for Sixers’ lottery odds.
- Utah beat New York (bad): Worse, the Knicks lost as well. This was expected, but a Knicks win would have broken that tie for the 6th worst record.
Tonight’s games:
- Phoenix @ Brooklyn (go Nets): Phoenix losses keep them “close” to the Lakers (even if I struggle to see the Lakers winning 2 games from here on out).
- LAC @ Dallas (go Mavs): Dallas is 3 wins up on the Kings, so this shouldn’t matter, but there’s no cost to making that 4.
- New York @ Portland (go Knicks): Another big game for the Knicks, who are tied with the Kings for the 6th worst record. Portland has been playing better basketball of late, and a road back-to-back game will be tough for the Knicks to overcome.
Current combined odds for Sixers/Kings pick swap:
- #1 pick: 14.1% (no change since yesterday)
- Top-3 pick: 44.0% (no change since yesterday)
- Two top-5 picks: 29.6% (no change since yesterday)
Lakers Pick (currently 2nd):
Lakers draft pick – Current Status:
| Team | Place | Record | GB (from LAL) | Games Left | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets | 1st | 14-56 | -5.5 | 12 | 4-6 |
| Lakers | 2nd | 20-51 | — | 11 | 1-9 |
| Suns | 3rd | 22-49 | +2.0 | 11 | 3-7 |
| Magic | 4th | 26-46 | +5.5 | 10 | 3-7 |
(Where the Lakers currently are in the standings)
Lakers Draft Pick Matrix:
| Finishes | 1-3 pick | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worst record | 64.3% | 35.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2nd worst | 55.8% | 31.9% | 12.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3rd | 46.9% | 22.6% | 26.5% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4th | 37.8% | 9.9% | 35.0% | 16.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 5th | 29.1% | 0.0% | 26.1% | 35.9% | 8.4% | 0.4% |
What odds the Lakers have of getting each pick (columns) depending on where they finish in the standings (rows). In red means the Sixers would not get the pick. The row in bold is where the Lakers are if the season finished today. All odds assume no ties in the final standings).
Sixers/Kings Pick (currently 5th/t6th):
| Team | Place | Record | GB (Sixers) | Games Left | Last 10 | Lotto combinations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic | 4th | 26-46 | -0.5 | 10 | 3-7 | 119 |
| Sixers | 5th | 26-45 | — | 11 | 3-7 | 88 |
| Kings | t6th | 27-44 | +1.0 | 11 | 2-8 | 53 |
| Knicks | t6th | 27-44 | +1.0 | 11 | 2-8 | 53 |
| Wolves | 8th | 28-42 | +2.0 | 12 | 4-6 | 28 |
| Pelicans | 9th | 30-41 | +3.5 | 11 | 6-4 | 17 |
| Mavs | 10th | 30-40 | +4.0 | 12 | 6-4 | 11 |
(How the Sixers and Kings fit into the standings. Lottery ball combinations based on if the season ended today.)
