Draft Pick Tracker – March 28th, 2017
Welcome back to your daily Sixers draft pick tracker.
Summary:
The Kings found a recent winning streak, the Wolves forgot how to play basketball, and Sacramento has somehow jumped to having just the 8th worst record.
2017 Draft Pick Tracker – Summary
| Pick | Place | GB (from 2nd) | Games Left | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers | 2nd | — | 9 | 44.2% chance at conveying |
| Sixers | 5th | 6.0 | 9 | 88 lottery combinations |
| Kings | 8th | 7.5 | 8 | 28 lottery combinations |
Yesterday’s results:
- New York beat Detroit (great): The Knicks broke their 5 game losing streak, giving them 1 more win than the Sixers and keeping them just 1 away from Sacramento.
- Sacramento beat Memphis (horrible): Sacramento’s 2 game winning streak is really screwing things up for the Sixers, especially when combined with the Wolves 6 game losing streak and the Knicks general ineptitude (or competence? This time of year is so weird). With 29 wins they now have the 8th worst record, 2 more than Orlando, who currently has the 4th worst record.
- Toronto beat Orlando (bad): This one was kind of expected, as Orlando was on the road against a tough opponent. Still, the loss moves Orlando back into the 4th worst record, a half game behind the Sixers.
Tonight’s games:
- Phoenix @ Atlanta (go Hawks): Phoenix is on an 8 game losing streak, keeping them within arms reach (0.5 games) of the Lakers at 2/3.
- Philadelphia @ Brooklyn: Brooklyn’s playing pretty good ball of late, winning 5 of their last 10. This isn’t a gimme for Brett Brown and his crew.
- Minnesota @ Indiana (go Wolves): The Wolves 6 game losing streak is really screwing things up, as the Kings (29 wins) passed the Wolves (28) last night. A win here would really help.
- Washington @ LAL (go Lakers): Washington stumbled a little bit last week, losing 4 of 5 after spending months as one of the hottest teams in the NBA. Still, they looked to have rebounded, winning their last 3, including a victory Saturday against the Cavaliers. This would be a very unlikely win for the Lakers.
Current combined odds for Sixers/Kings pick swap:
- #1 pick: 11.6% (-1.7% change since yesterday)
- Top-3 pick: 37.3% (-4.5% change since yesterday)
- Two top-5 picks: 26.1% (-1.0% change since yesterday)
Lakers Pick (currently 2nd):
Lakers draft pick – Current Status:
| Team | Place | Record | GB (from LAL) | Games Left | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets | 1st | 16-57 | -5.0 | 9 | 5-5 |
| Lakers | 2nd | 21-52 | — | 9 | 2-8 |
| Suns | 3rd | 22-52 | +0.5 | 8 | 1-9 |
(Where the Lakers currently are in the standings)
Lakers Draft Pick Matrix:
| Finishes | 1-3 pick | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worst record | 64.3% | 35.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2nd worst | 55.8% | 31.9% | 12.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3rd | 46.9% | 22.6% | 26.5% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4th | 37.8% | 9.9% | 35.0% | 16.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 5th | 29.1% | 0.0% | 26.1% | 35.9% | 8.4% | 0.4% |
What odds the Lakers have of getting each pick (columns) depending on where they finish in the standings (rows). In red means the Sixers would not get the pick. The row in bold is where the Lakers are if the season finished today. All odds assume no ties in the final standings).
Sixers/Kings Pick (currently 5th/8th):
| Team | Place | Record | GB (Sixers) | Games Left | Last 10 | Lotto combinations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic | 4th | 27-47 | +0.5 | 8 | 4-6 | 119 |
| Sixers | 5th | 27-46 | — | 9 | 4-6 | 88 |
| Knicks | 6th | 28-46 | -0.5 | 8 | 2-8 | 63 |
| Wolves | 7th | 28-44 | +1.5 | 10 | 3-7 | 43 |
| Kings | 8th | 29-45 | +1.5 | 8 | 4-6 | 28 |
(How the Sixers and Kings fit into the standings. Lottery ball combinations based on if the season ended today.)
