Draft Pick Tracker – April 6th, 2017

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Updated: Thursday, April 6, 2017 08:09 AM

Welcome back to your daily Sixers draft pick tracker.

Summary:
No games impacted either the Sixers or the Kings draft positioning, but an unexpected Lakers win (thanks Pop!) and an expected Phoenix loss has the Lakers 1.5 games up on the Suns in that race for the 3rd slot.

Here’s a graph over how the Sixers’ lottery odds have changed by date. Included in the graphs are lines for the odds of the #1 pick, a top-3 pick, and of having two top-5 picks after May 16th’s lottery.

2017 Draft Pick Tracker – Summary

Pick Place GB (from 3rd) Games Left Notes
Lakers 3rd 4 53.1% chance at conveying
Sixers 5th 5.0 4 88 lottery combinations
Kings 7th 8.0 4 43 lottery combinations

Yesterday’s results:

  • LAL beat San Antonio (good) (no seriously they really did): Manu and Danny Green were out. Tony Parker, LaMarcus Aldridge, and Kawhi all played fewer than 16 minutes. The improbable Lakers win and…
  • Golden State beat Phoenix (good): … the Suns losing puts the Lakers 1.5 games up on Phoenix with 4 games left to play.

Tonight’s games:

  • Washington @ New York (go Knicks): The Knicks are two wins up on the Sixers, but just 1 behind the Kings. New York catching Sacramento could gain the Sixers 20 additional ping pong ball combinations for May 16th’s lottery.
  • Brooklyn @ Orlando (go Magic): Orlando’s still just 1 win back of the Sixers. Considering the difference between 4th (119 lottery ball combinations) and 5th (88), this is the most important end-of-season result that’s still to be determined.
  • Chicago @ Philadelphia: ^– see above.
  • Minnesota @ Portland (go Wolves): Minnesota’s tied with Sacramento in the win column. 15 lottery ball combinations hang in the balance. (7th place = 43 lottery ball combinations, 8th place = 28)

Current combined odds for Sixers/Kings pick swap:



  • #1 pick: 13.1% (no change since yesterday)
  • Top-3 pick: 41.4%% (no change since yesterday)
  • Two top-5 picks: 30.8% (no change since yesterday)

Lakers Pick (currently 3rd):

Lakers draft pick – Current Status:

Team Place Record GB (from LAL) Games Left Last 10
Nets 1st 19-59 -4.0 4 6-4
Suns 2nd 22-57 -1.5 3 0-10
Lakers 3rd 23-55 4 3-7

(Where the Lakers currently are in the standings)

Lakers Draft Pick Matrix:

Finishes 1-3 pick 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Worst record 64.3% 35.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2nd worst 55.8% 31.9% 12.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3rd 46.9% 22.6% 26.5% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4th 37.8% 9.9% 35.0% 16.1% 1.3% 0.0%
5th 29.1% 0.0% 26.1% 35.9% 8.4% 0.4%

What odds the Lakers have of getting each pick (columns) depending on where they finish in the standings (rows). In red means the Sixers would not get the pick. The row in bold is where the Lakers are if the season finished today. All odds assume no ties in the final standings).

Sixers/Kings Pick (currently 5th/7th):

Team Place Record GB (Sixers) Games Left Last 10 Lotto combinations
Magic 4th 27-51 -1.0 4 3-7 119
Sixers 5th 28-50 4 3-7 88
Knicks 6th 30-48 +2.0 4 3-7 63
Kings 7th 31-47 +3.0 4 4-6 43
Wolves 8th 31-46 +3.5 5 3-7 28

(How the Sixers and Kings fit into the standings. Lottery ball combinations based on if the season ended today.)

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Derek Bodner

Derek Bodner covers the NBA draft for USA Today and DraftExpress.com. He was previously the 76ers Insider for Philadelphia magazine. Contact Information: derek.bodner@draftexpress.com / @DerekBodnerNBA

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